M. Peart-Harris
L. Cullen
Pre-game odds
1 | X | 2 | |
---|---|---|---|
Odds |
2.45
|
3.30
|
2.80
|
Prob. |
40.8%
|
30.3%
|
35.7%
|
Key points
• Derby County is unbeaten in their last five home matches.
• Swansea has a poor away record, with three matches winless away from home.
• Derby County has kept three clean sheets in their last six home games.
• Swansea has scored only six goals in their last six matches.
• Both teams typically feature low-scoring contests, with 67% of their recent games under 2.5 goals.
• Derby County's recent defensive vulnerabilities suggest they could concede, despite a solid home record.
Current streaks
Derby County
0
2
0
3
0
7
Swansea
0
2
2
0
0
2
Recent form
Derby County
Derby County have been exhibiting a consistent pattern of drawing matches, with four of their last six games ending in stalemates. The Rams have struggled to secure victories, winning only one of their recent six fixtures. Notably, their defence has been somewhat leaky, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last seven outings. Despite their mid-table position, Derby's goal difference remains neutral, having scored and conceded an equal number of goals (7) in their last six matches. Interestingly, both teams have scored in all of their recent games, suggesting that whilst Derby are finding the net regularly, they are also vulnerable defensively. The majority of their matches (67%) have been relatively low-scoring affairs, with fewer than 2.5 goals per game.
Swansea
Swansea's recent form has been inconsistent, with the Swans struggling to find a steady rhythm in the Championship. They have managed just two wins in their last six matches, with three losses and a draw completing the set. Their most recent outing was a high-scoring affair, falling 4-3 to Leeds United in a thrilling encounter that bucked the trend of their typically low-scoring matches. Despite sitting 14th in the table, Swansea have been defensively solid, keeping two clean sheets in their last six games and conceding an average of just 1.17 goals per game. However, their attacking output has been modest, scoring only six goals in this period. The team's tendency towards low-scoring matches is evident, with 67% of their recent games featuring under 2.5 goals. Interestingly, both teams have scored in only a third of Swansea's last six matches, highlighting their defensive resilience but also their struggles in front of goal.
Derby County
DDLWDD
W1 D4 L1
7
1.2
7
1.2
0
0
2.33
100%
67%
33%
Swansea
DLWWLL
W2 D1 L3
6
1
7
1.2
-1
2
2.17
33%
67%
33%
Recent home/away form
Derby County
Derby County have shown a solid run of form at home, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches at Pride Park. The Rams have demonstrated defensive resilience, keeping three clean sheets in their previous six home games and conceding an average of just 0.83 goals per game. Their attacking prowess has been evident, scoring 10 goals in this period, with a particularly impressive 3-0 victory over Bristol City. Derby's home form has been characterised by tight contests, with 67% of their matches seeing fewer than 2.5 goals. However, their 3-2 defeat to Norwich stands out as a high-scoring affair. The team's recent draws against Plymouth Argyle and Hull City suggest they are difficult to beat at home, even if they're not always securing all three points.
Swansea
Swansea's recent away form has been patchy, with the Swans struggling to find consistency on the road. They've managed just two wins in their last six away matches, with both victories coming by a narrow 2-1 margin. Defensively, they've been relatively solid, conceding only five goals in these six games and keeping one clean sheet. However, their attacking prowess has been lacklustre, netting just four times in total. A concerning trend is their three-match winless run away from home in the Championship, which includes two 1-0 defeats and a goalless draw. The lack of goalscoring has been particularly evident, with Swansea failing to find the back of the net in four of their last six away fixtures. Despite this, they've managed to keep matches tight, with four of the six games featuring under 2.5 goals, suggesting a cautious approach on their travels.
Derby County
WWLWDD
W3 D2 L1
10
1.7
5
0.8
+5
3
2.5
50%
67%
33%
Swansea
WLLDWL
W2 D1 L3
4
0.7
5
0.8
-1
1
1.5
33%
67%
33%
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