Result ✓ Home win
Pre-game odds
1 | X | 2 | |
---|---|---|---|
Odds |
2.15
|
3.20
|
3.50
|
Prob. |
46.5%
|
31.2%
|
28.6%
|
Key points
• Luton Town have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five games.
• Derby County just ended a winless streak with a 4-0 victory.
• Luton has a decent home record with three wins and only one defeat in their last six matches.
• Derby County's away form shows just one win in their last six games.
• Both teams have struggled defensively, with recent matches seeing low-scoring outcomes.
• Luton Town's away performances remain a concern, having lost their last two.
Current streaks
Luton Town
0
1
1
0
0
5
Derby County
1
0
0
2
2
0
Recent form
Luton Town
Luton Town's recent form has been inconsistent, with the Hatters struggling to find consistency in the Championship. Currently sitting in 19th position, they have managed just two wins in their last six matches, interspersed with three defeats and a draw. Their defence has been particularly vulnerable, conceding 11 goals in this period, with a high-scoring 4-2 defeat at Norwich City standing out. Luton have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five games, which is a concern for manager Nathan Jones. While they've shown they can score, netting in five of their last six matches, their goal difference of -5 over this period highlights their defensive frailties. The Hatters' home form has been slightly better, with a win and a draw in their last two matches at Kenilworth Road, but their away performances remain a worry, having lost their last two on the road.
Derby County
Derby County's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a notable improvement in their latest match. The Rams have endured a challenging period, going winless for five consecutive games before a resounding 4-0 victory against Portsmouth. This high-scoring win stands out as their most impressive result in the recent fixtures. Derby's defensive record has been inconsistent, keeping two clean sheets in their last six matches, but also conceding two goals in each of their three consecutive losses against Leeds United, Sheffield Wednesday, and Swansea. Their goal difference over this period is neutral, having scored and conceded seven goals each. Despite their current 14th position in the Championship, Derby's ability to score four goals in their most recent match suggests potential for improvement in their offensive output.
Luton Town
WLLDWL
W2 D1 L3
6
1
11
1.8
-5
1
2.83
50%
50%
50%
Derby County
DLLLDW
W1 D2 L3
7
1.2
7
1.2
0
2
2.33
50%
50%
50%
Recent home/away form
Luton Town
Luton Town have shown impressive resilience at home recently, with their last six matches at Kenilworth Road yielding three wins, two draws, and only one defeat. The Hatters have been particularly strong defensively, conceding just five goals in these six games, with two clean sheets to their name. Whilst not prolific in attack, Luton have managed to score in every home game during this period, albeit with a modest average of 1.17 goals per match. Notably, they are currently on a three-game unbeaten run at home, which includes two consecutive 1-0 victories against Hull City and Cardiff City. The majority of Luton's recent home fixtures have been tight affairs, with 67% of these games featuring under 2.5 goals, suggesting a trend towards low-scoring encounters at Kenilworth Road.
Derby County
Derby County's away form has been rather inconsistent in recent matches, with the Rams struggling to find consistent success on the road. In their last six away games, Derby have managed just one win, accompanied by three draws and two losses. The team have been finding goals hard to come by, netting only five times in these six matches, averaging less than a goal per game. Defensively, they've been somewhat more solid, conceding seven goals and keeping one clean sheet. Interestingly, two-thirds of Derby's away games have seen both teams score, suggesting they're often involved in competitive matches. However, the majority of these games (67%) have been low-scoring affairs with under 2.5 goals. There are no notable runs of consecutive wins or losses in this period, nor any particularly high-scoring encounters, which further emphasises the team's inconsistent form and struggle for goals away from home.
Luton Town
LDWWDW
W3 D2 L1
7
1.2
5
0.8
+2
2
2
67%
67%
33%
Derby County
DLWDLD
W1 D3 L2
5
0.8
7
1.2
-2
1
2
67%
67%
33%
More Championship predictions
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship