Pre-game odds
1 | X | 2 | |
---|---|---|---|
Odds |
2.20
|
3.40
|
3.20
|
Prob. |
45.5%
|
29.4%
|
31.2%
|
Key points
• Derby County has not won in their last six matches, with only one win overall in this period.
• Watford has also struggled with only one win in their last six matches but has a higher goals per game average.
• Both teams have consistently failed to keep clean sheets, with Derby lacking in defensive solidity recently.
• Watford averages 2.17 goals conceded per game, indicating significant defensive issues.
• Derby County has scored an average of 1.5 goals per game at home, suggesting potential for offensive output.
• Both teams have seen high-scoring matches lately, with Watford's games averaging 3.33 goals per match.
Current streaks
Derby County
0
4
0
1
0
6
Watford
0
5
0
1
0
9
Recent form
Derby County
Derby County's recent form has been concerning, with the Rams struggling to find consistency in their Championship campaign. The team have managed just one win in their last six matches, suffering four defeats and securing a draw in their most recent FA Cup fixture against Leyton Orient. Derby's defensive frailties are evident, having conceded 10 goals in their last six games and failing to keep a clean sheet in that period. Their 4-2 loss to Sheffield Wednesday stands out as a particularly high-scoring encounter, highlighting their vulnerability at the back. The Rams' goal-scoring record has also been modest, averaging just one goal per game in their last six outings. With Derby currently sitting in 18th position in the league table, their recent run of three consecutive league defeats prior to the FA Cup draw is a cause for concern as they look to distance themselves from the relegation zone.
Watford
Watford's recent form has been concerning, with the team experiencing a significant slump in performance. The Hornets have managed only one win in their last six matches, suffering four defeats and drawing once. Their defensive frailties are particularly evident, having conceded a worrying 13 goals in this period, averaging 2.17 goals conceded per game. Notably, Watford have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine matches, which is a troubling streak for a team sitting 8th in the Championship. The 4-1 defeat to Fulham in the FA Cup stands out as a particularly heavy loss. On a more positive note, both teams have scored in all of Watford's last six games, and 83% of these matches have seen over 2.5 goals, suggesting that while Watford are struggling defensively, they are at least providing some entertainment for neutrals with high-scoring encounters.
Derby County
LWLLLD
W1 D1 L4
6
1
10
1.7
-4
0
2.67
67%
50%
50%
Watford
WLLLLD
W1 D1 L4
7
1.2
13
2.2
-6
0
3.33
100%
17%
83%
Recent home/away form
Derby County
Derby County's recent home form has been a mixed bag, with the Rams experiencing both highs and lows at Pride Park. Notably, they enjoyed a brief two-game winning streak, including an impressive 4-0 thrashing of Portsmouth, which stands out as their highest-scoring match in this period. However, this positive run was bookended by a concerning three-game losing streak, indicating inconsistency in their performances. Despite their struggles, Derby have managed to maintain a respectable goal-scoring record, netting an average of 1.5 goals per game at home. Their defensive record has been somewhat shaky, with clean sheets proving elusive in all but one match. The Rams' matches have tended to be entertaining affairs, with 67% of their home games seeing over 2.5 goals and both teams finding the back of the net in two-thirds of the fixtures.
Watford
Watford's recent away form has been notably poor, with the team failing to secure a victory in their last six matches on the road. The Hornets have endured a particularly challenging run, suffering three consecutive defeats before their most recent draw against Cardiff City. Their defensive struggles are evident, having conceded 13 goals in these six games, with an alarming average of 2.17 goals conceded per game. The 4-1 loss to Fulham in the FA Cup stands out as a particularly high-scoring encounter. Interestingly, both teams have scored in all six matches, contributing to a high total goals average of 3.33 per game. Despite their difficulties, Watford have managed to find the net consistently, scoring in every away game during this period, albeit at a lower rate than their opponents. The team's inability to keep a clean sheet in these matches further underscores their defensive frailties on their travels.
Derby County
DLLWWL
W2 D1 L3
9
1.5
7
1.2
+2
1
2.67
67%
33%
67%
Watford
DDLLLD
W0 D3 L3
7
1.2
13
2.2
-6
0
3.33
100%
33%
67%
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