Pre-game odds
1 | X | 2 | |
---|---|---|---|
Odds |
2.45
|
3.00
|
3.20
|
Prob. |
40.8%
|
33.3%
|
31.2%
|
Key points
• Derby County are on a three-game winning streak at home.
• Derby County have kept four clean sheets in their last six home matches.
• Luton Town has only scored an average of 0.83 goals per game recently.
• Luton Town’s last defeat came in their most recent game against Blackburn Rovers.
• 83% of both Derby County's and Luton Town's recent matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
• Derby County has conceded only 5 goals in their last 6 games overall.
Current streaks
Derby County
0
3
0
2
0
1
Luton Town
0
3
1
0
0
3
Recent form
Derby County
Derby County have shown mixed form in their recent matches, with a notable three-game winning streak followed by a loss and two draws. Despite their current 21st position in the Championship, the Rams have demonstrated resilience, particularly in defence, conceding only 5 goals in their last 6 games and keeping 3 clean sheets. Their goal-scoring has been consistent, averaging 1.5 goals per game, with a high-scoring 3-2 victory against Plymouth Argyle standing out. Interestingly, 67% of their recent matches have seen under 2.5 goals, suggesting a trend towards tighter, lower-scoring affairs. While Derby County have struggled to climb the table, their recent form shows signs of improvement, with 11 points from a possible 18 in their last 6 matches.
Luton Town
Luton Town's recent form has been mixed, with the Hatters struggling to maintain consistency in the Championship. Despite being in 23rd position with 40 points from 42 games, they have shown some resilience in their last six matches, securing two wins, three draws, and suffering only one defeat. Defensively, Luton have been relatively solid, conceding just 0.67 goals per game and keeping two clean sheets during this period. However, their attacking output has been somewhat lacklustre, scoring only 0.83 goals per game. The majority of their recent matches have been low-scoring affairs, with 83% of games featuring under 2.5 goals. Interestingly, Luton's last defeat came in their most recent match against Blackburn Rovers, potentially halting any momentum they had been building. While there are no notable winning or losing streaks to report, the team's ability to avoid defeat in four consecutive matches prior to the Blackburn loss suggests they have been competitive despite their lowly league position.
Derby County
WWWLDD
W3 D2 L1
9
1.5
5
0.8
+4
3
2.33
33%
67%
33%
Luton Town
WDWDDL
W2 D3 L1
5
0.8
4
0.7
+1
2
1.5
50%
83%
17%
Recent home/away form
Derby County
Derby County have shown impressive defensive resilience in their recent home fixtures, keeping four clean sheets in their last six matches at Pride Park. The Rams are currently enjoying a three-game winning streak at home, demonstrating improved form despite their low league position. Whilst their goal-scoring output has been modest, averaging just one goal per game, their defensive record has been outstanding, conceding only twice in six matches. This defensive solidity is further highlighted by the fact that 83% of these games have seen under 2.5 goals scored. Derby's home form has been crucial in their fight against relegation, with their recent run of results potentially offering a glimmer of hope for the struggling side.
Luton Town
Luton Town's recent away form has been a mixed bag, with a notable improvement in their last three matches. After suffering a concerning run of three consecutive away defeats, during which they failed to score and conceded eight goals, the Hatters have shown resilience by going unbeaten in their subsequent three away fixtures. This turnaround includes impressive back-to-back wins against Cardiff City and Hull City, followed by a hard-fought draw at Stoke City. The 4-0 thrashing at Burnley stands out as a particularly high-scoring game and their heaviest defeat in this stretch. Despite their recent upturn in form, Luton's overall away record remains concerning, with just four goals scored in their last six away matches, highlighting their struggles in front of goal on the road. Their defensive record has also been inconsistent, managing only one clean sheet in these six games whilst conceding an average of 1.67 goals per game.
Derby County
DLWWWD
W3 D2 L1
6
1
2
0.3
+4
4
1.33
17%
83%
17%
Luton Town
LLLWWD
W2 D1 L3
4
0.7
10
1.7
-6
1
2.33
33%
67%
33%
More Championship predictions
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship