Pre-game odds
1 | X | 2 | |
---|---|---|---|
Odds |
2.05
|
2.90
|
4.20
|
Prob. |
48.8%
|
34.5%
|
23.8%
|
Key points
• Derby County has two consecutive wins and a strong defensive record at home.
• Derby's recent home games have frequently ended with under 2.5 goals.
• Stoke City has lost four of their last six away matches, conceding 15 goals.
• Stoke's attacking output has been poor, averaging only 0.83 goals per game.
• Derby has kept three clean sheets in their last six home fixtures.
• 83% of Stoke's recent games have also seen under 2.5 goals, indicating low-scoring trends.
Current streaks
Derby County
2
0
0
2
1
0
Stoke City
0
2
2
0
0
2
Recent form
Derby County
Derby County have shown a mixed bag of form in their recent fixtures, with their last six games yielding two wins, two draws, and two losses. The Rams have managed to secure back-to-back victories in their most recent outings, including an impressive 3-1 away win against West Brom. Despite their current 19th position in the Championship table, Derby's defensive record has been relatively solid, conceding only 0.83 goals per game over the last six matches and keeping two clean sheets. Their goal-scoring output has been modest, averaging one goal per game during this period. Interestingly, 67% of their recent matches have seen under 2.5 goals, suggesting a trend towards tighter, lower-scoring affairs. The team's ability to grind out results is evident in their latest 1-0 away victory against Hull City, which could be crucial in their efforts to climb the table in the final stages of the season.
Stoke City
Stoke City's recent form has been inconsistent, with their last six matches yielding two wins, two draws, and two losses. The Potters have struggled to find the back of the net, scoring just five goals in their last six games, averaging a meagre 0.83 goals per match. Defensively, they've been vulnerable, conceding 10 goals during this period, with a particularly heavy 6-0 defeat to Leeds United standing out as a significant setback. Despite their attacking woes, Stoke have managed to keep two clean sheets in their last six outings. The team's goal difference of -5 over these matches reflects their struggles at both ends of the pitch. Interestingly, 83% of their recent games have seen under 2.5 goals, suggesting a trend towards low-scoring affairs. Currently sitting in 18th position with 50 points from 45 games, Stoke City find themselves in a precarious position in the Championship table.
Derby County
LDDLWW
W2 D2 L2
6
1
5
0.8
+1
2
1.83
33%
67%
33%
Stoke City
DDWWLL
W2 D2 L2
5
0.8
10
1.7
-5
2
2.5
33%
83%
17%
Recent home/away form
Derby County
Derby County have shown mixed form at home in recent matches, with a notable three-game winning streak sandwiched between two losses. The Rams have been particularly solid defensively at Pride Park, conceding only three goals in their last six home fixtures and keeping three clean sheets. However, their attacking output has been somewhat limited, with just six goals scored across these games. Interestingly, 83% of Derby's recent home matches have seen fewer than 2.5 goals, suggesting a trend towards low-scoring affairs. Despite their recent home victories, Derby's overall league position remains precarious, sitting in 19th place with 49 points from 45 games. The team's home form could be crucial in their bid to avoid relegation, with their defensive resilience potentially being a key factor in securing vital points.
Stoke City
Stoke City's recent away form has been particularly poor, with the Potters suffering four defeats in their last six matches on the road. Their most recent away outing resulted in a humiliating 6-0 thrashing at the hands of Leeds United, which stands out as a particularly high-scoring game. The team's defensive frailties are evident, having conceded a worrying 15 goals in their last six away fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals conceded per game. Stoke have managed just one clean sheet during this run, a 1-0 victory over Cardiff City, which represents their sole away win in the period. Their goal difference of -9 in these matches further underscores their struggles, with the team scoring only six goals whilst leaking more than twice that number. Despite the overall disappointing form, it's worth noting that 50% of Stoke's away games during this period have seen both teams score, suggesting they retain some attacking threat despite their defensive woes.
Derby County
LWWWDL
W3 D1 L2
6
1
3
0.5
+3
3
1.5
17%
83%
17%
Stoke City
LLLDWL
W1 D1 L4
6
1
15
2.5
-9
1
3.5
50%
50%
50%
More Championship predictions
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship
Championship