Result × Home win
Pre-game odds
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odds |
2.25
|
3.10
|
3.60
|
| Prob. |
44.4%
|
32.3%
|
27.8%
|
Key points
• Spain has an impressive recent form, winning 4 out of their last 6 matches.
• Spain's high-scoring games have seen an average of 3.17 goals per game.
• Italy is on a six-game unbeaten run, with solid defense and only conceding 0.33 goals per game in their last 6 matches.
• Italy has kept 4 clean sheets in their recent matches.
• Spain's strong home form includes scoring 19 goals in their last 6 matches.
• Italy's recent away form shows a mixed record with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches.
Current streaks
Spain
3
0
0
4
1
0
Italy
2
0
0
7
0
1
Recent form
Spain
Spain's recent form has been impressive, with four wins, one draw, and one loss in their last six matches. They are currently on a three-game winning streak, including a convincing 3-0 victory against Croatia in the European Championship. Spain has been scoring goals at a high rate, averaging 3.17 goals per game over the last six matches, with two particularly high-scoring games: a 5-1 win against Northern Ireland and a 5-0 win against Andorra in international friendlies. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding an average of one goal per game, and keeping two clean sheets during this period. The total goals average of 4.17 suggests that Spain's matches have been entertaining, with 83% of their games featuring over 2.5 goals.
Italy
Italy's recent form has been impressive, with the team currently on a six-game unbeaten run, including four wins and two draws. The Italians have shown defensive solidity, keeping four clean sheets in their last six matches and conceding only two goals, resulting in a low goals conceded per game average of 0.33. While their attacking output has been modest, scoring seven goals in six games (1.17 goals scored per game), Italy has managed to secure positive results consistently. Notably, their matches have been relatively low-scoring, with 67% of the games featuring under 2.5 goals. The team's ability to grind out wins and maintain a strong defensive record has been a key factor in their recent success.
Spain
WLDWWW
W4 D1 L1
19
3.2
6
1
+13
2
4.17
50%
17%
83%
Italy
DWWDWW
W4 D2 L0
7
1.2
2
0.3
+5
4
1.5
33%
67%
33%
Recent home/away form
Spain
Spain has been in excellent form at home, winning four of their last six matches, including three consecutive victories in their most recent games. Their offensive prowess has been particularly impressive, scoring a total of 19 goals in these six matches, averaging an impressive 3.17 goals per game. Spain's attacking style has led to high-scoring encounters, with 83% of their games featuring over 2.5 goals. However, their defensive record has been somewhat inconsistent, conceding six goals in total and keeping just two clean sheets. The 5-1 win against Northern Ireland and the 5-0 victory over Andorra stand out as particularly high-scoring games, showcasing Spain's ability to dominate weaker opposition at home.
Italy
Italy's recent away form has been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. They have managed to keep three clean sheets during this period, suggesting a solid defensive performance. However, their goalscoring has been relatively low, averaging just 1.2 goals per game. The majority of their away games (80%) have seen under 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for low-scoring affairs. The only exception was the high-scoring 3-1 defeat against England in the Euros Qualifiers. Italy will be looking to improve their consistency and goalscoring output in their upcoming away fixtures.
Spain
WLDWWW
W4 D1 L1
19
3.2
6
1
+13
2
4.17
50%
17%
83%
Italy
WDLDW
W2 D2 L1
6
1.2
4
0.8
+2
3
2
40%
80%
20%