L. Modric
R. Calafiori
Result × Draw
Pre-game odds
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odds |
3.20
|
3.10
|
2.40
|
| Prob. |
31.2%
|
32.3%
|
41.7%
|
Key points
• Croatia's recent form showed three consecutive wins before a 3-0 defeat against Spain.
• Croatia demonstrated a strong attacking prowess, scoring 11 goals in their last 6 matches.
• Italy had a strong defensive record, keeping three clean sheets in their last six matches.
• Italy's away form has been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and two losses.
• Croatia's home form has been quite strong, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss in their last six matches.
• Italy has a modest goal-scoring record, averaging one goal per game in their away matches.
Current streaks
Croatia
0
2
0
1
0
3
Italy
0
1
1
0
0
2
Recent form
Croatia
Croatia's recent form has been quite impressive, with three consecutive wins against North Macedonia, Egypt, and Portugal before drawing against Albania in their latest European Championship match. However, their unbeaten run came to an end with a 3-0 defeat against Spain in the same tournament. Croatia has been involved in several high-scoring games, notably their 4-2 victory over Egypt and their 2-1 win against Portugal. The team has demonstrated a strong attacking prowess, scoring 11 goals in their last 6 matches, averaging 1.83 goals per game. Defensively, they have conceded 8 goals, with an average of 1.33 goals conceded per game. The majority of their matches (83%) have seen over 2.5 goals, indicating an entertaining and attacking style of play.
Italy
Italy's recent form has been strong, with four wins, one draw, and one loss in their last six matches. They had a notable run of four consecutive victories, including wins in their first two European Championship matches against Albania and Bosnia and Herzegovina. However, their winning streak was halted by a 1-0 defeat against Spain in their most recent European Championship game. Italy has been solid defensively, keeping three clean sheets in their last six matches and conceding only 0.5 goals per game on average. Their attacking output has been moderate, scoring 1.17 goals per game, with no particularly high-scoring matches during this period.
Croatia
DWWWLD
W3 D2 L1
11
1.8
8
1.3
+3
2
3.17
50%
17%
83%
Italy
WWDWWL
W4 D1 L1
7
1.2
3
0.5
+4
3
1.67
33%
67%
33%
Recent home/away form
Croatia
Croatia's recent home form has been quite strong, with three wins, two draws, and only one loss in their last six matches. They have managed to keep three clean sheets during this period, showcasing their defensive solidity. Croatia's attack has also been impressive, scoring 12 goals in these six games, averaging 2 goals per game. It's worth noting that they had a particularly high-scoring match against Latvia, winning 5-0 in September 2023. However, their most recent game against Albania in the European Championship ended in a 2-2 draw, suggesting that they may be vulnerable to conceding goals against tougher opposition. Overall, Croatia's home form has been consistent, with a good balance between attack and defense.
Italy
Italy's away form in their last six games has been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and two losses. They have not had any runs of wins or defeats longer than two games. Italy's away games have been relatively low-scoring, with only one game featuring over 2.5 goals (the 3-1 loss against England). The Italians have managed to keep three clean sheets in their last six away matches, conceding an average of 0.83 goals per game. Their goal-scoring record is modest, averaging one goal per game, with a total of six goals scored across the six fixtures.
Croatia
DWLWWD
W3 D2 L1
12
2
4
0.7
+8
3
2.67
33%
50%
50%
Italy
WDLDWL
W2 D2 L2
6
1
5
0.8
+1
3
1.83
33%
83%
17%