E. Bove
C. Kouame
A. Colpani
Pre-game odds
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odds |
3.00
|
3.25
|
2.45
|
| Prob. |
33.3%
|
30.8%
|
40.8%
|
Key points
• Lecce is on a three-game losing streak and struggles offensively, scoring 0.5 goals per game.
• Fiorentina is on a three-game unbeaten run with consistent goal-scoring, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
• Lecce has a negative goal difference of -5, while Fiorentina maintains a positive goal difference of +3.
• Lecce concedes an average of 2 goals per game at home, while Fiorentina scores 2.17 goals per match away.
• Both teams have shown vulnerability defensively, with Lecce managing one clean sheet in six games and Fiorentina conceding 1.5 goals per game away.
• 67% of Lecce's recent games and Fiorentina's matches have seen over 2.5 goals, indicating high-scoring affairs.
Current streaks
Lecce
0
5
3
0
0
4
Fiorentina
2
0
0
4
0
1
Recent form
Lecce
Lecce's recent form has been concerning, with the team currently sitting in 17th position in Serie A and on a three-game losing streak across all competitions. Their last victory came on August 31st against Cagliari, followed by two draws and three consecutive losses. The team's offensive output has been particularly weak, scoring only 3 goals in their last 6 matches (0.5 goals per game), while conceding 8 (1.33 per game). Defensively, Lecce has managed two clean sheets in this period, but their goal difference of -5 highlights their struggles at both ends of the pitch. The majority of their recent matches (67%) have seen under 2.5 goals, indicating low-scoring affairs. Their most significant defeat came against AC Milan in a 3-0 loss, which stands out as the highest-scoring game in this run.
Fiorentina
Fiorentina's recent form shows signs of improvement, with the team currently on a three-game unbeaten run in all competitions, including two consecutive wins. Their last six matches have been characterized by consistent goal-scoring, averaging 1.67 goals per game, while maintaining a positive goal difference of +3. Notably, 67% of their recent matches have seen both teams score, and the same percentage have featured over 2.5 goals, indicating entertaining, high-scoring affairs. The 3-2 loss to Atalanta stands out as a particularly goal-rich encounter. Despite their current 11th position in Serie A, Fiorentina's recent performances suggest they're trending upwards, with two clean sheets in their last six games demonstrating improved defensive stability.
Lecce
WDDLLL
W1 D2 L3
3
0.5
8
1.3
-5
2
1.83
17%
67%
33%
Fiorentina
DLWDWW
W3 D2 L1
10
1.7
7
1.2
+3
2
2.83
67%
33%
67%
Recent home/away form
Lecce
Lecce's recent home form has been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and three losses in their last six games. Their defensive struggles are evident, conceding an average of 2 goals per game, which contributes to their negative goal difference of -5. A notable high-scoring game was the 4-0 loss to Atalanta in Serie A, highlighting their vulnerability at the back. On the positive side, Lecce has managed to score in five out of six matches, averaging 1.17 goals per game. The team's games tend to be high-scoring affairs, with 67% of matches seeing over 2.5 goals. However, their inability to keep clean sheets (only one in six games) has likely contributed to their current 17th position in the league, emphasizing the need for defensive improvement to climb the table.
Fiorentina
Fiorentina's recent away form shows a mixed bag of results, with a notable trend towards draws. In their last six away matches, they've managed one win, four draws, and one loss, demonstrating resilience but struggling to secure victories. The team's ability to find the back of the net is evident, scoring an impressive 13 goals in these six games, averaging 2.17 goals per match. However, their defensive record is a concern, conceding 9 goals (1.5 per game). The standout performance was a high-scoring friendly against Grosseto, which Fiorentina won 7-2, showcasing their offensive potential. Interestingly, both teams have scored in 83% of these matches, indicating exciting, open games for spectators. With an even split between matches going over and under 2.5 goals, Fiorentina's away games have been unpredictable in terms of total goals.
Lecce
LWLWDL
W2 D1 L3
7
1.2
12
2
-5
1
3.17
50%
33%
67%
Fiorentina
DWDDLD
W1 D4 L1
13
2.2
9
1.5
+4
1
3.67
83%
50%
50%