Pre-game odds
1 | X | 2 | |
---|---|---|---|
Odds |
1.90
|
3.50
|
4.20
|
Prob. |
52.6%
|
28.6%
|
23.8%
|
Key points
• AC Milan are on a poor run, losing three of their last four matches.
• Fiorentina is on a three-match winning streak in Serie A.
• AC Milan has not kept a clean sheet in their last seven games.
• Fiorentina has scored 11 goals in their last six matches.
• AC Milan's home form is strong with three wins in their last six at the San Siro.
• Fiorentina has struggled away, losing four consecutive matches on the road.
Current streaks
AC Milan
0
1
1
0
0
7
Fiorentina
3
0
0
3
2
0
Recent form
AC Milan
AC Milan's recent form has been inconsistent, with the Rossoneri struggling to maintain a positive run of results. The team have lost three of their last four matches, including a concerning streak of three consecutive defeats against Torino, Bologna, and Lazio. Despite a brief resurgence with back-to-back wins against Lecce and Como, Milan have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last seven games, conceding at least two goals in five of their six most recent outings. The high-scoring nature of Milan's matches is noteworthy, with all six games seeing over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. Their defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 1.83 goals per game, which has contributed to their current 9th position in Serie A with 47 points from 30 games.
Fiorentina
Fiorentina have shown impressive form in their recent fixtures, securing four wins in their last six matches across all competitions. The Viola are currently on a three-match winning streak in Serie A, including a notable 3-0 victory over Juventus. Their offensive prowess has been evident, with 11 goals scored in their last six games, averaging 1.83 goals per match. Defensively, they've been solid, keeping three clean sheets and conceding only six goals during this period. The team's matches have been high-scoring affairs, with 67% of their recent games featuring over 2.5 goals. Fiorentina's current 8th position in Serie A with 51 points from 30 games suggests they are pushing for a strong finish to the season, potentially eyeing European qualification.
AC Milan
LLLWWL
W2 D0 L4
9
1.5
11
1.8
-2
0
3.33
100%
0%
100%
Fiorentina
WLLWWW
W4 D0 L2
11
1.8
6
1
+5
3
2.83
50%
33%
67%
Recent home/away form
AC Milan
AC Milan's recent home form has been generally positive, with the Rossoneri securing three wins, two draws, and only one loss in their last six matches at the San Siro. The team have shown resilience, scoring in every game and maintaining an average of 1.5 goals per match. Defensively, they've been relatively solid, conceding just one goal per game on average. However, clean sheets have been rare, with only one in this period. The matches have been consistently competitive, with both teams scoring in 83% of the games. Interestingly, there's a perfect balance between high and low-scoring affairs, with half the matches seeing over 2.5 goals and half under. The standout result in this run was a convincing 3-1 victory over AS Roma in the Coppa Italia, showcasing Milan's ability to perform in high-stakes encounters at home.
Fiorentina
Fiorentina's recent away form has been particularly poor, with the Viola suffering a concerning run of four consecutive defeats on the road. This dismal streak includes losses in Serie A to Napoli, Hellas Verona, Inter Milan, and Monza, as well as a high-scoring 3-2 defeat to Panathinaikos in the Europa Conference League. Their sole away victory in this period came against Lazio, interrupting what would otherwise have been an even longer losing streak. Notably, Fiorentina have been involved in several high-scoring encounters, with 83% of their recent away matches seeing over 2.5 goals and both teams finding the net. Despite their attacking prowess, averaging 1.17 goals per game, their defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 1.83 goals per match and failing to keep a single clean sheet in their last six away fixtures.
AC Milan
DWWDLW
W3 D2 L1
9
1.5
6
1
+3
1
2.5
83%
50%
50%
Fiorentina
LWLLLL
W1 D0 L5
7
1.2
11
1.8
-4
0
3
83%
17%
83%
More Serie A predictions
Serie A
Serie A
Serie A
Serie A
Serie A
Serie A
Serie A
Serie A
Serie A