A. Cambiaso
L. Trossard
W. Faes
Result × Draw
Pre-game odds
1 | X | 2 | |
---|---|---|---|
Odds |
1.95
|
3.25
|
4.20
|
Prob. |
51.3%
|
30.8%
|
23.8%
|
Key points
• Italy's recent form shows an improved attacking prowess, winning their last two UEFA Nations League matches.
• Italy has not kept a clean sheet in their last six matches, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
• Belgium struggles to find consistent scoring form, with a low average of goals per game (0.83).
• Belgium's recent away form includes one win in the last six matches, with more draws and losses.
• Italy has an impressive home form, with a streak of four consecutive wins and an unbeaten run in the last six matches.
• Belgium has a negative goal difference in their recent away matches, except for a single 3-2 victory over Austria.
Current streaks
Italy
2
0
0
2
0
6
Belgium
0
1
1
0
0
3
Recent form
Italy
Italy's recent form shows a mixed bag of results, with a promising upturn in their last two matches. The Azzurri have won their last two games in the UEFA Nations League, scoring five goals and conceding only two, which indicates an improvement in their attacking prowess. Prior to this, they experienced a challenging run in the European Championship, where they suffered two 1-0 losses against Spain and Switzerland, sandwiching a 1-1 draw with Croatia. Interestingly, Italy has not kept a clean sheet in their last six matches, highlighting potential defensive vulnerabilities. The team's goal-scoring average of 1.33 per game is decent, but their defensive record of conceding 1.17 goals per game suggests room for improvement. The fact that both teams scored in 67% of these matches points to entertaining, competitive games. With an even split between matches going over and under 2.5 goals, Italy's recent fixtures have offered a balance of high-scoring affairs and tighter contests.
Belgium
Belgium's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mixed bag of results in their last six matches. They've struggled to find consistent scoring form, averaging less than a goal per game (0.83) while conceding at the same rate. Defensively, they've managed two clean sheets, which is a positive sign. However, their games have been notably low-scoring, with 83% of matches featuring under 2.5 goals. This trend is further emphasized by the fact that both teams scored in only 17% of the games. Belgium's current form includes a two-game losing streak against France, both in competitive fixtures (UEFA Nations League and European Championship). Their most convincing performance came in a 3-1 victory over Israel, which stands out as the highest-scoring game in this stretch. Overall, Belgium's recent performances suggest they're in a period of transition, struggling to find consistent form in both attack and defense.
Italy
WLDLWW
W3 D1 L2
8
1.3
7
1.2
+1
0
2.5
67%
50%
50%
Belgium
LWDLWL
W2 D1 L3
5
0.8
5
0.8
0
2
1.67
17%
83%
17%
Recent home/away form
Italy
Italy's recent home form has been impressive, with a current streak of four consecutive wins and an unbeaten run stretching across their last six matches. The Azzurri have been particularly potent in front of goal, scoring 14 times in these six games, averaging 2.33 goals per match. Their defensive record is also noteworthy, conceding only 0.67 goals per game and keeping three clean sheets. Two high-scoring encounters stand out: a 5-2 victory over North Macedonia and a 4-0 win against Malta, both in Euro 2024 qualifiers. The team has shown a tendency for high-scoring games, with 67% of their matches seeing over 2.5 goals. This combination of offensive prowess and defensive solidity has made Italy a formidable force on home soil.
Belgium
Belgium's recent away form shows a concerning trend, with their last six matches resulting in only one win, three draws, and two consecutive losses. Their goal-scoring has been modest, averaging less than a goal per game (0.83), while they've conceded more frequently at 1.17 goals per game. Defensively, they've managed two clean sheets in this period, but their goal difference remains negative at -2. The team has been involved in mostly low-scoring affairs, with 67% of their games seeing under 2.5 goals. Their most recent matches against France have been particularly challenging, losing both encounters without scoring. The highest-scoring game in this run was their 3-2 victory over Austria in the Euros Qualifiers, which stands out as their only win and the only match where they scored more than two goals.
Italy
WWWDWW
W5 D1 L0
14
2.3
4
0.7
+10
3
3
50%
33%
67%
Belgium
WDDDLL
W1 D3 L2
5
0.8
7
1.2
-2
2
2
33%
67%
33%