I. Perisic
Result ✓ Home win
Pre-game odds
1 | X | 2 | |
---|---|---|---|
Odds |
1.55
|
4.20
|
6.00
|
Prob. |
64.5%
|
23.8%
|
16.7%
|
Key points
• Croatia's recent form: 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in last 6 matches.
• Croatia's defensive weakness: 1.5 goals conceded per game.
• Scotland's defensive struggles: 2.33 goals conceded per game in last six matches.
• Both teams have a high-scoring trend in recent games with over 2.5 goals in 67% of matches.
• Croatia's recent home form: 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in last 6 matches.
• Scotland's recent away form: 1 win, 4 losses, and 1 draw in last 6 matches.
Current streaks
Croatia
1
0
0
1
1
0
Scotland
0
14
3
0
0
6
Recent form
Croatia
Croatia's recent form shows a mixed performance with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 6 matches. Their goal-scoring average of 1.17 goals per game is modest, while they've been conceding at a higher rate of 1.5 goals per game, resulting in a negative goal difference. Notably, Croatia has struggled to keep clean sheets, managing only one in this period. The team's matches have been relatively high-scoring, with 67% of games seeing over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. Their most recent victory against Poland in the UEFA Nations League marks a positive turn after a challenging European Championship campaign, where they faced a heavy 3-0 defeat to Spain and drew their other two matches. Interestingly, Croatia's performance against Portugal has been inconsistent, winning a friendly 2-1 but losing a Nations League match 2-1 within a span of three months.
Scotland
Scotland's recent form has been concerning, with the team currently on a three-game losing streak and winless in their last six matches. Their defensive struggles are particularly evident, conceding 14 goals in these six games, with an alarming average of 2.33 goals conceded per game. The 5-1 defeat against Germany in the European Championship stands out as a particularly high-scoring game. Despite their offensive efforts, scoring in five out of six games, Scotland has been unable to secure a victory. The team's inability to keep a clean sheet in any of these matches further highlights their defensive vulnerabilities. With 67% of their games seeing over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 83% of the matches, Scotland's recent fixtures have been characterized by high-scoring, open affairs, though unfortunately not in their favor.
Croatia
WLDDLW
W2 D2 L2
7
1.2
9
1.5
-2
1
2.67
67%
33%
67%
Scotland
DLDLLL
W0 D2 L4
7
1.2
14
2.3
-7
0
3.5
83%
33%
67%
Recent home/away form
Croatia
Croatia's recent home form shows a mixed but generally positive trend. In their last six home matches, they have secured three wins, two draws, and suffered only one loss, demonstrating resilience on their home turf. The team has been defensively solid, keeping three clean sheets and conceding an average of just 0.67 goals per game. While their attack hasn't been prolific, averaging 1.33 goals per game, they've managed to score in five out of six matches. The most notable result was a comfortable 3-0 victory over North Macedonia in a friendly, which stands out as their highest-scoring game in this period. Interestingly, two-thirds of their recent home matches have seen under 2.5 goals, suggesting a tendency towards tighter, lower-scoring affairs. Croatia's ability to avoid consecutive losses at home is also noteworthy, with their only defeat in this stretch sandwiched between positive results.
Scotland
Scotland's recent away form has been challenging, with only one win in their last six matches, a 2-0 victory against Gibraltar. They've suffered four losses and managed one draw during this period, indicating a struggle on the road. Notably, there's a current run of three consecutive away defeats, including a heavy 5-1 loss to Germany in the European Championship. Scotland's defense has been particularly vulnerable, conceding a concerning 17 goals in these six games (2.83 per game), with two high-scoring matches standing out: the 5-1 loss to Germany and a 4-0 defeat to the Netherlands. While Scotland has managed to score in 67% of these games, their goal difference of -10 highlights a significant defensive issue. The prevalence of high-scoring games is evident, with 83% of these matches featuring over 2.5 goals, suggesting entertaining but potentially problematic fixtures for Scottish supporters.
Croatia
LWWDDW
W3 D2 L1
8
1.3
4
0.7
+4
3
2
33%
67%
33%
Scotland
LDLWLL
W1 D1 L4
7
1.2
17
2.8
-10
1
4
67%
17%
83%