B. Doak
P. Zielinski
J. Souttar
Result × Away win
Pre-game odds
1 | X | 2 | |
---|---|---|---|
Odds |
2.45
|
3.30
|
2.90
|
Prob. |
40.8%
|
30.3%
|
34.5%
|
Key points
• Poland has not kept a clean sheet in their last 10 matches.
• Scotland has managed to keep two clean sheets in their last six matches.
• Poland has a negative goal difference of -6, conceding 15 goals in their last six matches.
• Scotland is on a three-match losing streak in away games, conceding 15 goals.
• Both teams have shown vulnerabilities in defence, contributing to high-scoring encounters.
• There is a 67% chance of both teams scoring in Poland's recent matches.
Current streaks
Poland
0
4
1
0
0
10
Scotland
1
0
0
2
2
0
Recent form
Poland
Poland's recent form has been rather concerning, with only one win in their last six matches. They have struggled defensively, conceding a worrying 15 goals in these fixtures and failing to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 games. The team's goal difference of -6 highlights their defensive frailties, despite managing to score an average of 1.5 goals per game. Poland have been involved in some high-scoring encounters, particularly their recent 5-1 defeat to Portugal and a thrilling 3-3 draw with Croatia. Interestingly, both teams have scored in 83% of Poland's last six matches, with 67% of these games featuring over 2.5 goals. Their current run of three matches without a win (LLDL) is a cause for concern, especially considering the heavy defeats to Portugal in their last two meetings.
Scotland
Scotland's recent form has been concerning, with the team experiencing a challenging period in their UEFA Nations League campaign and European Championship participation. The Scots have endured a four-match losing streak, which was only recently broken by a draw against Portugal and a narrow victory over Croatia. Despite their struggles, Scotland have managed to keep two clean sheets in their last six matches. The team's goal-scoring record has been modest, averaging less than a goal per game, whilst conceding at a rate of 1.33 goals per match. Interestingly, half of Scotland's recent matches have seen both teams score, and there's an even split between games featuring under and over 2.5 goals. The highest-scoring encounter in this run was the 3-2 defeat to Poland, which stands out as a particularly entertaining fixture amidst a period of generally low-scoring affairs.
Poland
DWLLDL
W1 D2 L3
9
1.5
15
2.5
-6
0
4
83%
33%
67%
Scotland
LLLLDW
W1 D1 L4
5
0.8
8
1.3
-3
2
2.17
50%
50%
50%
Recent home/away form
Poland
Poland's recent home form has been a mixed bag, with their last six matches yielding two wins, one draw, and three losses. Notably, the Polish side are currently on a three-game winless streak at home, having lost to the Netherlands and Austria in the European Championship, and most recently drawing with Croatia in the UEFA Nations League. Goals have been plentiful in these fixtures, with all six games seeing over 2.5 goals scored and both teams finding the net. Poland's defence has been particularly leaky, conceding an average of 2.17 goals per game, while their attack has been relatively productive, scoring 1.83 goals per match. The high-scoring 3-3 draw against Croatia stands out as a particularly thrilling encounter. Despite their recent struggles, Poland did enjoy back-to-back victories in friendly matches against Ukraine and Türkiye earlier in the year, showcasing their potential to bounce back on home soil.
Scotland
Scotland's recent away form has been concerning, with the team currently on a three-match losing streak on the road. In their last six away fixtures, Scotland have managed only one win, against Gibraltar, whilst suffering four defeats and securing a single draw. The Scots have struggled defensively, conceding a worrying 15 goals in these six matches, averaging 2.5 goals conceded per game. Particularly alarming were the heavy defeats to Germany (5-1) and the Netherlands (4-0), highlighting Scotland's vulnerability against stronger opposition. Despite these defensive woes, Scotland have shown some attacking promise, scoring in 67% of these matches. However, their goal difference of -8 over this period underscores the team's overall struggles away from home. With 83% of these games featuring over 2.5 goals, Scotland's away matches have tended to be high-scoring affairs, averaging 3.67 total goals per game.
Poland
WWLLLD
W2 D1 L3
11
1.8
13
2.2
-2
0
4
100%
0%
100%
Scotland
DLWLLL
W1 D1 L4
7
1.2
15
2.5
-8
1
3.67
67%
17%
83%