Wales 4-1 Iceland

Current streaks

Recent form

Wales

Wales have shown a mixed form in their recent fixtures, demonstrating resilience with a five-game unbeaten run following a heavy 4-0 defeat to Slovakia in a friendly. The Dragons have been particularly strong defensively, keeping three clean sheets in their last six matches, including two goalless draws against Türkiye. Their attack, however, has been less prolific, averaging less than a goal per game. The standout result in this period was the 4-0 loss to Slovakia, which appears to be an anomaly in an otherwise solid defensive record. Wales have shown improvement in their UEFA Nations League campaign, securing two wins and three draws, with their ability to grind out results evident in the close scorelines. The team's defensive solidity is further highlighted by the fact that both teams scored in only 33% of these matches, suggesting Wales have been difficult to break down.

Iceland

Iceland's recent form presents a mixed picture, with their last six matches showing a pattern of inconsistency. The team have managed two wins, one draw, and three losses in this period, including a notable 2-0 victory against Montenegro in their most recent UEFA Nations League fixture. However, Iceland have struggled defensively, conceding 13 goals in six games, with a particularly heavy 4-0 defeat to the Netherlands in a friendly. Their attacking output has been moderate, scoring 9 goals across these matches, but they've failed to keep a clean sheet in four of the six games. Interestingly, two-thirds of their recent matches have seen over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency towards high-scoring encounters. The 4-2 loss to Türkiye stands out as a particularly goal-rich affair. While Iceland have shown flashes of form, they'll be looking to improve their defensive record and build on their recent win to establish a more consistent run of results.

Recent home/away form

Wales

Wales have shown impressive resilience at home, remaining unbeaten in their last six matches with three wins and three draws. Their defensive record is particularly noteworthy, conceding just 0.5 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in half of these fixtures. The Dragons have been relatively consistent in their scoring, netting in five out of six games, with a stand-out performance in their 4-1 victory over Finland in the Euro Qualifiers. This high-scoring encounter was an anomaly, as 67% of their recent home games have seen under 2.5 goals, suggesting a trend towards tighter, lower-scoring affairs. Wales have demonstrated an ability to grind out results, with their last three matches ending in a win and two draws, indicating a solid, if not spectacular, run of form on home soil.

Iceland

Iceland's recent away form presents a mixed picture with some notable achievements. The team have won four of their last six away matches, including an impressive victory against England. They are currently on a run of three consecutive away wins, demonstrating improved form on the road. Iceland have shown defensive solidity, keeping clean sheets in four of these six matches, which is particularly commendable for an away side. However, they have also suffered two heavy defeats, conceding three goals against Türkiye and four against the Netherlands, indicating some vulnerability against stronger opposition. Despite these losses, Iceland have managed to maintain a balanced goal difference, scoring and conceding an average of 1.17 goals per game. The majority of their away matches (67%) have seen under 2.5 goals, suggesting a tendency towards tighter, lower-scoring affairs when playing away from home.